Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 15-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.50 for Arda Kardzhali.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 28%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.