Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
70%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.18/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.65
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
29.05.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.03.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
14.09.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
30.03.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 70%, draw 17%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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