Riga FC 3-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.18
Draw
11%
6.26
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
79%
+3.0pp
11%
Draw
12%
-1.6pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
2.72/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.20
+4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
42.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
30.4 Crosses 12.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.30 xG 0.91
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
475 Passes 168
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
46 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
09.04.2026 Riga FC Riga FC 3-3 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
24.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
31.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.83 xG 0.72
26 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
561 Passes 106
31 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC beat FK Tukums 2000 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 3-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 82%, draw 11%, FK Tukums 2000 7%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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