FK Tukums 2000 1-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.78
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
74%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.2pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.5pp
74%
Away Win
74%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 79%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
0.95/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.82
+32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +38%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.8
10.7 Crosses 27.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.88 xG 2.76
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
165 Passes 446
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2026 Riga FC Riga FC 3-3 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
24.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
31.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
13.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.62 xG 1.03
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
194 Passes 495
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC beat FK Tukums 2000 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 32% of the ball to Riga FC's 68%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.33 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

FK Tukums 2000 1-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 11%, draw 15%, Riga FC 74%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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