Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Atletico San Luis 2-3 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.32 to 3.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.33 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Atletico San Luis 2-3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 24%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.