FC Juarez vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 0-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla squeezed past FC Juarez 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Juarez at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.86 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Juarez had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.83 for Puebla.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Puebla?
FC Juarez 0-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 55%, draw 21%, Puebla 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.