Lilleström 2-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.04
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
4.21
X/2
9%
10.05
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1
5%
21.0
2/2
9%
7.7
2/X
7%
15.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.21 — our 22% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.86/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.1 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
5W-0D-1L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2025 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOK
30.08.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
27.06.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
09.03.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 3-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo HAZ
02.12.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
11.08.2020 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-1
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.42 xG 0.35
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
447 Passes 332
30 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström squeezed past KFUM Oslo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lilleström and 0.83 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo?

Lilleström 2-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 55%, draw 22%, KFUM Oslo 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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