HamKam 1-4 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Jul 2026

HamKam
1-4 HT 0-1
Tromsö
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

HamKam vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 25% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
6.01
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
5%
7.93
X/2
14%
4.58
X/X
20%
4.66
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.56
2/X
3%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
48%
-13.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.37/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.95
+23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
20.8 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

HamKam vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.58 xG 1.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 446
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
22.06.2025 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
03.11.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-3 HT 1-2 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.03.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam HAZ
17.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR

HamKam 1-4 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-4
AWAY Tromsö
0.83 xG 2.70
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
307 Passes 563
16 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö cruised past HamKam 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.83 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HamKam and 1.50 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Tromsö?

HamKam 1-4 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split HamKam 35%, draw 30%, Tromsö 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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