Molde 1-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Jul 2026

Molde
1-2 HT 0-2
Brann
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.38
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.55
6+ Goals
15%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.81
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
18%
5.39
X/2
13%
7.03
X/X
11%
6.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.75
2/2
8%
4.24
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+6.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
2.22/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.38
+50% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
18.3 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.86
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
205 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
29.05.2025 Brann Brann 0-3 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
23.11.2024 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
26.05.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
19.03.2024 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann HAZ
21.10.2023 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
1-2
AWAY Brann
1.54 xG 1.13
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
417 Passes 490
28 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann squeezed past Molde 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.13 — on chances, Molde could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Molde and 0.83 for Brann.

What was the final score of Molde vs Brann?

Molde 1-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Molde 51%, draw 20%, Brann 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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