Viking 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.58
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.48
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
3%
18.8
X/1
29%
4.06
X/2
6%
17.75
X/X
9%
9.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
18.4
2/2
6%
13.35
2/X
5%
21.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.4 — our 13% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-4.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.07
+25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
451 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
27.9 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
308 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
16.05.2025 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
02.11.2024 Viking Viking 3-2 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
20.05.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-3 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
24.09.2023 Viking Viking 4-3 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.05.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.16 xG 0.38
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 391
37 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Sandefjord 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viking's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Viking and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Viking vs Sandefjord?

Viking 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Viking 67%, draw 17%, Sandefjord 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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