Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Rusya - Süper Kupa, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.75
Over
40%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova The Market 32%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Attackvs comparable teams
Defensevs comparable teams
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2026 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
14.03.2026 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
16.08.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.03.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
24.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.92 xG 0.77
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
305 Passes 320
12 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg and Spartak Moskova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 2.09 (roughly 48%) the price was further off than we were. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Zenit St. Petersburg against 0.67 for Spartak Moskova.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Result & Final Score

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Spartak Moskova in the Rusya - Süper Kupa on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 41%, draw 27%, Spartak Moskova 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →