Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0 HT 1-0
Spartak Moskova
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.45
X/2
12%
7.42
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
8%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.11/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.09
-40% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.1 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.63 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.08.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.03.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
24.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
17.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
03.04.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
2.34 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
280 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg got the better of Spartak Moskova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 45% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.34 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.83 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 52%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg)
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