Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.78
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
5.22
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
15%
3.92
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.19
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +6%
1.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.46
-34% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.1 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.23 xG 2.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 412
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
18.09.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
27.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
28.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
153 Passes 347
57% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad edged past CSKA Moskova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Baltika Kaliningrad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 38% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 62%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.33 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 38%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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