Rostov 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
14%
6.2
X/2
14%
5.39
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.63/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.42
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.3 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
02.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
10.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow HAZ
01.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-4 HT 0-3 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.23 xG 1.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
194 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow edged past Rostov 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Dinamo Moscow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rostov had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 59%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.23 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rostov and 1.00 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Rostov 0-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rostov 36%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ BTTS Yes
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