FC Sochi vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Sochi v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals
FC Sochi vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
FC Sochi
RUS
0-2
HT 0-1
Krasnodar
RUS
FC Sochi 1-2 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, FC Sochi had 34% of the ball to Krasnodar's 66%, shots finished 5-27, expected goals 0.84 to 4.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Krasnodar's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Sochi and 3.17 for Krasnodar.
What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Krasnodar?
FC Sochi 1-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Krasnodar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 13%, draw 21%, Krasnodar 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.