Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.04/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.07
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
18.2 Crosses 25.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
21.11.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
28.04.2018 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
27.11.2017 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-3 HT 1-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
16.04.2017 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
04.11.2016 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 HT 0-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-0
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.25 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
27 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 Passes 411
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 47% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 53%, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 2.25 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.00 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 27%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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