Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 18 Aug 2026

Pachuca
vs
Puebla
📅18/08/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Pachuca v Puebla — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Pachuca vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puebla
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.03.2026 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
24.09.2025 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
27.02.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
21.09.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 1-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
21.02.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-4 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
29.10.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
COMMENT Pachuca vs Puebla
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Puebla have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Puebla.

When do Pachuca and Puebla play?

Pachuca play Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 18/08/2026, kick-off 06:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Pachuca vs Puebla?

Our model's prediction for Pachuca vs Puebla is a Pachuca win at about 56% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Pachuca 56%, draw 24%, Puebla 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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