Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
5-1
HT 2-1
Puebla
MEK
Pachuca 2-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca edged past Puebla 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Pachuca had 40% of the ball to Puebla's 60%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.14 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Puebla?
Pachuca 2-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 55%, draw 23%, Puebla 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.