Atlas vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atlas 1-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Atlas 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Atlas had 32% of the ball to Guadalajara's 68%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.27 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guadalajara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlas and 1.50 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas 1-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atlas 30%, draw 29%, Guadalajara 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.