Bayern München II 3-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

Bayern München II
3-2 HT 2-1
Illertissen
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Bayern München II vs Illertissen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over Pick
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München II v Illertissen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen The Market 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.90/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.00
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.1 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bayern München II vs Illertissen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.21 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
412 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 3-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
03.12.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II nicked a narrow win over Illertissen 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bayern München II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern München II and 1.00 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Illertissen?

Bayern München II 3-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 39%, draw 25%, Illertissen 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
18 Oct 2024
00:00 Würzburger Kickers vs Schweinfurt Analysis →
00:00 Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen Analysis →
00:00 Freiburg II vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →
00:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
00:00 Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg Analysis →
00:00 Wuppertaler SV vs Köln II Analysis →