Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-0
MVV Maastricht
HOK
1-1
HT 1-1
Excelsior
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Excelsior
HOK
2-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
Excelsior 3-2 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior nicked a narrow win over MVV Maastricht 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Excelsior had 67% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 33%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.86 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Excelsior and 1.00 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht?
Excelsior 3-2 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 57%, draw 22%, MVV Maastricht 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.