Juve Stabia 2-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.95
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.35
X/X
7%
3.74
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
6.13
2/X
9%
14.75
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.59/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.22
+2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
25.1 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avellino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Avellino Avellino 3-1 HT 2-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTK
13.01.2024 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 2-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
29.11.2023 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTCK
11.09.2023 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.04.2023 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
30.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-0
AWAY Avellino
0.65 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
271 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia saw off Avellino 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 44% of the ball to Avellino's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.17 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Avellino?

Juve Stabia 2-0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 46%, draw 27%, Avellino 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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