Frosinone vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frosinone v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Frosinone vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Frosinone
İTK
4-1
HT 2-1
Monza
İTB
3-2
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
Frosinone 0-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Monza squeezed past Frosinone 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Monza made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Frosinone had 57% of the ball to Monza's 43%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 0.61 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monza's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Frosinone and 1.67 for Monza.
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Monza?
Frosinone 0-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 37%, draw 26%, Monza 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.