Mantova 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.35
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
9%
5.32
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
6.33
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.38
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · X/2 at 6.33 — our 21% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
+21% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
12.1 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
474 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-0 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
14.12.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-2 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
06.03.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
24.10.2021 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
08.03.2021 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
11.11.2020 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
2.29 xG 0.46
83% Ball Possession 17%
25 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
681 Passes 77
92% Pass Accuracy 55%
42 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova and Südtirol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mantova had 83% of the ball to Südtirol's 17%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 1.17 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Südtirol?

Mantova 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mantova 36%, draw 24%, Südtirol 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Südtirol), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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