Reggiana 3-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.1
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.85
X/2
11%
5.69
X/X
15%
3.93
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
16%
3.93
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.75
Value flag · 2/X at 12.75 — our 11% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.09/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.21
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.4 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.99 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
02.11.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.01.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-2 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
07.10.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
22.07.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
3-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.04 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
399 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana beat FC Bari 1908 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Reggiana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 51% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.04 to 1.66 — on chances, FC Bari 1908 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Reggiana and 0.60 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs FC Bari 1908?

Reggiana 3-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 36%, draw 31%, FC Bari 1908 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reggiana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
18 Oct 2025
16:00 Mantova vs Südtirol Analysis →
16:00 Pescara vs Carrarese Analysis →
16:00 Frosinone vs Monza Analysis →
18:15 Juve Stabia vs Avellino Analysis →
20:30 Spezia vs Cesena Analysis →