Haka 1-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.16
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.43
X/2
15%
6.4
X/X
10%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.1
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.47/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
24.1 Crosses 29.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KTP Kotka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 0.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 Passes 391
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Haka Haka 2-3 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
23.05.2025 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
22.01.2025 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FLK
09.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-3 Haka Haka HAZ
07.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
21.08.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-2
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.45 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 13
246 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 34
30 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka nicked a narrow win over Haka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day KTP Kotka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 46% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 54%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.45 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haka and 1.17 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Haka vs KTP Kotka?

Haka 1-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haka 39%, draw 23%, KTP Kotka 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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