IFK Mariehamn 2-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.07
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
10%
7.34
X/2
19%
4.97
X/X
9%
5.16
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
27%
2.77
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.21/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.20
-11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 85%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.1 Crosses 20.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.76 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 369
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
19.10.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.09.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-2 HT 2-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2-0
AWAY Oulu
1.42 xG 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
407 Passes 484
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn got the better of Oulu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 46% of the ball to Oulu's 54%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu?

IFK Mariehamn 2-0 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 21%, Oulu 51%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oulu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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