Gana 1-2 Nijer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 18 Nov 2024

Gana
1-2 HT 0-1
Nijer
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijer EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.51/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.28
-5% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
11.6 Crosses 19.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nijer
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 0.98
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
404 Passes 193
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2024 Nijer Nijer 1-1 HT 0-1 Gana Gana AFUK
28.01.2023 Nijer Nijer 2-0 HT 1-0 Gana Gana AUŞ
28.01.2013 Nijer Nijer 0-3 HT 0-2 Gana Gana AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
1-2
AWAY Nijer
1.82 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gana vs Nijer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijer edged past Gana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gana had 56% of the ball to Nijer's 44%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.82 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gana and 1.00 for Nijer.

What was the final score of Gana vs Nijer?

Gana 1-2 Nijer in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Nijer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gana 45%, draw 26%, Nijer 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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