Nijer 1-1 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 9 Sep 2024

Nijer
1-1 HT 0-1
Gana
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2025

Nijer vs Gana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.8
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 38% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+11.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-16.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijer v Gana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijer EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.14/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.60
-79% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
5.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
9.5 Crosses 12.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nijer vs Gana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijer
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 0.48
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
170 Passes 406
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.01.2023 Nijer Nijer 2-0 HT 1-0 Gana Gana AUŞ
28.01.2013 Nijer Nijer 0-3 HT 0-2 Gana Gana AFUK

Nijer 1-1 Gana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijer
1-1
AWAY Gana
1.19 xG 0.78
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
216 Passes 402
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nijer vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijer and Gana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Nijer had 39% of the ball to Gana's 61%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nijer and 1.50 for Gana.

What was the final score of Nijer vs Gana?

Nijer 1-1 Gana in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijer vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nijer 23%, draw 27%, Gana 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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