Madagaskar 1-1 Komorlar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Komorlar EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madagaskar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Komorlar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 2-1 HT 1-0 Komorlar Komorlar DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madagaskar
1-1
AWAY Komorlar
0.96 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
410 Passes 309
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Komorlar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar and Komorlar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Madagaskar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Madagaskar had 56% of the ball to Komorlar's 44%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.96 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Komorlar?

Madagaskar 1-1 Komorlar in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Komorlar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madagaskar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 42%, draw 26%, Komorlar 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Madagaskar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madagaskar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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