Etiyopya 0-2 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
37%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
12%
6.93
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-15.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-2.2pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 56%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.11
-91% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
4.0 Crosses 23.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etiyopya
0-2
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
0.65 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti beat Etiyopya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Etiyopya had 51% of the ball to D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Etiyopya 0-2 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 31%, draw 33%, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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