Uganda vs Kongo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda v Kongo — Team-Based Signals
Uganda vs Kongo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Uganda
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Kongo
DKE
4-0
HT 1-0
Kongo
AFUK
3-1
HT 1-1
Uganda
AFUK
Uganda 2-0 Kongo — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda got the better of Kongo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Uganda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Uganda had 41% of the ball to Kongo's 59%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.43 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uganda had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Uganda and 1.00 for Kongo.
What was the final score of Uganda vs Kongo?
Uganda 2-0 Kongo in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda vs Kongo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uganda 45%, draw 28%, Kongo 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.