Ekvator Ginesi 2-2 Togo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
14%
6.66
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Togo EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.11/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.31
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.0 Crosses 24.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
2-2
AWAY Togo
2.77 xG 1.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 203
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ekvator Ginesi vs Togo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi and Togo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ekvator Ginesi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ekvator Ginesi had 60% of the ball to Togo's 40%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.77 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Ekvator Ginesi vs Togo?

Ekvator Ginesi 2-2 Togo in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvator Ginesi vs Togo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 50%, draw 31%, Togo 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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