Angola 2-1 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 9 Sep 2024

Angola
2-1 HT 0-0
Sudan
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.66
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.4pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angola EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.01/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.55
+49% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angola
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sudan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 4
26.01.2012 Sudan Sudan 2-2 HT 1-1 Angola Angola AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angola
2-1
AWAY Sudan
2.61 xG 1.19
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
370 Passes 119
84% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Angola vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angola nicked a narrow win over Sudan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Angola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angola had 67% of the ball to Sudan's 33%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.61 to 1.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Angola's control.

What was the final score of Angola vs Sudan?

Angola 2-1 Sudan in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angola vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Angola 45%, draw 31%, Sudan 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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