Komorlar 1-0 Madagaskar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
5.64
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Komorlar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.69
+41% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Komorlar
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madagaskar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
309 Passes 410
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 1-1 HT 1-1 Komorlar Komorlar AFUK
07.06.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 2-1 HT 1-0 Komorlar Komorlar DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Komorlar
1-0
AWAY Madagaskar
1.58 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
338 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Komorlar vs Madagaskar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Komorlar nicked a narrow win over Madagaskar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Komorlar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Komorlar had 52% of the ball to Madagaskar's 48%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.58 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madagaskar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Komorlar and 1.50 for Madagaskar.

What was the final score of Komorlar vs Madagaskar?

Komorlar 1-0 Madagaskar in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Madagaskar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Komorlar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 48%, draw 24%, Madagaskar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Komorlar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Komorlar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
18 Nov 2024
16:00 Lesotho vs Burkina Faso Analysis →
19:00 Libya vs Benin Analysis →
19:00 Nijerya vs Ruanda Analysis →
19:00 Sudan vs Angola Analysis →
19:00 Gana vs Nijer Analysis →
22:00 Tunus vs Gambiya Analysis →