Nijerya vs Ruanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nijerya v Ruanda — Team-Based Signals
Nijerya vs Ruanda Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Ruanda
AFUK
0-0
HT 0-0
Nijerya
AFUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Nijerya
DKE
Nijerya 1-2 Ruanda — Actual Match Statistics
Ruanda squeezed past Nijerya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Nijerya at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nijerya had 57% of the ball to Ruanda's 43%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.80 to 0.32 — on chances, Nijerya could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nijerya and 0.25 for Ruanda.
What was the final score of Nijerya vs Ruanda?
Nijerya 1-2 Ruanda in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Ruanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 53%, draw 30%, Ruanda 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.