Tunus 0-1 Gambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-14.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gambiya EU Bookmakers 19%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.40
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
14.8 Crosses 9.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tunus
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gambiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
377 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Gambiya Gambiya 1-2 HT 1-1 Tunus Tunus AFUK
20.01.2022 Gambiya Gambiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus
0-1
AWAY Gambiya
0.74 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
477 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tunus vs Gambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gambiya nicked a narrow win over Tunus 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tunus at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Tunus had 63% of the ball to Gambiya's 37%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.74 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tunus and 1.00 for Gambiya.

What was the final score of Tunus vs Gambiya?

Tunus 0-1 Gambiya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus vs Gambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tunus 46%, draw 29%, Gambiya 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tunus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
18 Nov 2024
16:00 Lesotho vs Burkina Faso Analysis →
19:00 Libya vs Benin Analysis →
19:00 Nijerya vs Ruanda Analysis →
19:00 Sudan vs Angola Analysis →
19:00 Gana vs Nijer Analysis →
22:00 Komorlar vs Madagaskar Analysis →