Athletic Carpi 0-3 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.56
Over
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.26
2-3
45%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.75
6+
6%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella The Market 57%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.13/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.62
+20% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-1 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
0-3
AWAY Virtus Entella
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella swept aside Athletic Carpi 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 49% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 51%, shots finished 6-19.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Virtus Entella?

Athletic Carpi 0-3 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 28%, draw 23%, Virtus Entella 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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