Angers 2-0 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.71
Over
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.78
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
26%
3.91
6+
12%
18.1
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.18
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.99
X/2
17%
6.59
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
9%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre The Market 32%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.64/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.71
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.8 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Auxerre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
10.02.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR2
19.08.2023 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
12.02.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
17.12.2022 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
14.08.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 2-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-0
AWAY Auxerre
0.93 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
399 Passes 438
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angers vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers got the better of Auxerre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Angers made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angers had 48% of the ball to Auxerre's 52%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.93 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Angers and 1.50 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Angers vs Auxerre?

Angers 2-0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Angers 40%, draw 26%, Auxerre 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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