Reims 1-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No Pick
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.94
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.71
6+
11%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.05
X/1
16%
4.03
X/2
8%
9.8
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
14%
8.32
2/X
6%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 22%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.81/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.34
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +63%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.8 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.40 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
341 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-3 HT 0-2 Reims Reims FR1
25.02.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.12.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
30.04.2018 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
06.11.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR2
31.03.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
1-1
AWAY Le Havre
0.78 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
424 Passes 325
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims and Le Havre couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Reims had 55% of the ball to Le Havre's 45%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.78 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reims and 0.50 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Reims vs Le Havre?

Reims 1-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Reims 50%, draw 23%, Le Havre 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✗ BTTS No
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