Export Sebaco 0-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.46
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
27.11.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.09.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
31.03.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-2 HT 3-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
08.11.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-3 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
FAQ Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Matagalpa edged past Export Sebaco 1-0 away from home in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19 Jan 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.67 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?

Export Sebaco 0-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 44%, draw 26%, Matagalpa 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
19 Jan 2026
05:00 UNAN Managua vs Walter Ferretti Analysis →