Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Sacramento Republic 2-0 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic beat El Farolito 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 66% of the ball to El Farolito's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.69 to 0.52.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito?
Sacramento Republic 2-0 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 66%, draw 18%, El Farolito 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.