Club Guarani 3-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +34%
1.71/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.85
+23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
05.08.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 2-3 HT 1-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani beat Deportivo Recoleta 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Club Guarani and 1.20 for Deportivo Recoleta.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Club Guarani 3-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 50%, draw 24%, Deportivo Recoleta 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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