Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Libertad 2-1 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad squeezed past Nacional Asuncion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Libertad had 50% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 50%, shots finished 5-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Libertad and 1.33 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad 2-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Libertad 51%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.