Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Libertad 0-1 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion nicked a narrow win over Libertad 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Libertad had 63% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 37%, shots finished 10-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad 0-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 30%, Nacional Asuncion 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.