Mlada Boleslav 0-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.07
Over Pick
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.77
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
22%
3.03
6+
14%
9.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.97/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.78
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.3 Crosses 27.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jablonec
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.52 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
28.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
23.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
12.11.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.02.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0-1
AWAY Jablonec
0.76 xG 1.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
472 Passes 203
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec squeezed past Mlada Boleslav 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 67% of the ball to Jablonec's 33%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.76 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Jablonec?

Mlada Boleslav 0-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 29%, draw 25%, Jablonec 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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