Sabah 3-2 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.02.2025 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
29.11.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.09.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
27.04.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
24.02.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.12.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah squeezed past Sebail FK 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sabah and 0.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Sabah 3-2 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sabah 42%, draw 30%, Sebail FK 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
19 Apr 2025
19:00 Karabağ vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →