Holbaek 2-2 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 40%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.05/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.54
+51% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.04.2025 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
24.08.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 2-0 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
15.06.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 4-3 HT 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
14.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holbaek
2-2
AWAY VSK Arhus
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and VSK Arhus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Holbaek had 47% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 53%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holbaek and 1.83 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Holbaek 2-2 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 31%, draw 31%, VSK Arhus 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VSK Arhus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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