Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.5pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
2.08/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.94
-9% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Domzale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.10.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
11.08.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
14.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
21.02.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
21.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-0
AWAY Domzale
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana beat Domzale 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 65% of the ball to Domzale's 35%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.67 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 63%, draw 19%, Domzale 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ BTTS No
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