Everton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Everton
İNP
Everton 1-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool squeezed past Everton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Everton had 44% of the ball to Liverpool's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Everton and 1.50 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Everton vs Liverpool?
Everton 1-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Everton 27%, draw 25%, Liverpool 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.